Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 91836.938722 96846.044571 101851.377257 107224.817774 112826.675056 118491.006306 124647.926150
2025-07-06 83263.985229 90902.319260 98745.715486 107391.196466 116642.725906 126235.290237 136922.638810
2025-07-13 78248.341562 87787.631462 97793.946805 109051.117583 121340.685133 134327.940375 149067.806615
2025-07-20 74306.610928 85295.738549 97029.927284 110456.244856 125356.613878 141348.786812 159772.848062
2025-07-27 70742.275526 82861.108166 96005.617425 111269.271707 128451.357821 147139.868190 168947.548558
2025-08-03 67293.391339 80289.541090 94587.783771 111414.305222 130599.360811 151716.372479 176639.566037
2025-08-10 64440.585517 78201.192617 93539.267281 111810.260384 132884.761322 156331.535563 184287.720318
2025-08-17 61730.659897 76119.110191 92354.625165 111915.446462 134721.533243 160347.490219 191189.654665
2025-08-24 59967.687113 75036.248625 92230.575975 113161.540679 137803.649651 165740.934859 199648.807175
2025-08-31 57606.718680 73131.746167 91043.198901 113068.737262 139246.655725 169183.506485 205815.005954
2025-09-07 56298.910770 72418.578639 91203.080287 114514.322893 142457.927361 174663.323535 214358.048169
2025-09-14 54831.132742 71441.480267 90987.001325 115458.296135 145035.032183 179378.129612 222003.245097
2025-09-21 52980.808362 69947.800234 90113.244051 115590.020770 146641.110057 182970.154701 228378.321184
2025-09-28 51191.373736 68466.670168 89200.152954 115626.538816 148098.175917 186368.562841 234528.778909
2025-10-05 50365.601736 68153.044116 89689.480968 117356.763587 151600.768308 192223.670960 243652.515027
2025-10-12 49478.237215 67721.392443 89999.784118 118840.791619 154789.547319 197703.956028 252349.490043
2025-10-19 48350.788750 66939.344777 89834.784688 119701.938158 157190.435422 202222.295753 259892.648870
2025-10-26 46958.284874 65767.663616 89136.153601 119855.460896 158684.109151 205616.617597 266064.120310
2025-11-02 45761.274622 64810.047747 88673.578401 120275.558574 160487.718272 209381.249780 272696.068090
2025-11-09 44488.634951 63712.180111 87994.690338 120387.158670 161878.243186 212622.083903 278683.239377
2025-11-16 43805.066075 63370.814661 88271.799942 121709.386769 164794.919577 217766.052128 287056.519045
2025-11-23 42550.759256 62227.697796 87472.251919 121610.917358 165879.358435 220608.746180 292561.559449
2025-11-30 42033.419745 62060.486998 87936.123396 123144.644299 169053.431000 226086.529550 301397.523454